TIOBE : Where is that next big programming language?

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Summary

The May 2012 TIOBE Programming Community Index indicates C, Java, and C++ continue to dominate the top three, despite Java's declining share. Objective-C stands out as a consistent riser, driven by iPhone development, alongside upward trends for Visual Basic.NET, PL/SQL, and Logo. The index reveals a significant challenge for new languages to break into the mainstream, with the top 10 remaining largely unchanged over the past eight years, primarily due to the complexities of migrating large codebases. Consequently, even long-monitored languages like Scala, F#, and Groovy have not achieved a sustained ascent, suggesting a current absence of a clear "next big programming language" according to TIOBE's popularity metrics.

TIOBE has released the Programming Community Index for May 2012 a bit late. The top 3 languages do not change compared to last Month TIOBE : C overtakes Java as the No.1 programming language, they are still C,Java and C++. However, the share of Java is continuing dropping, Objective-C is steadily rising  Other languages which have rising trend are Visual Basic.NET，PL/SQL and Logo.

The last 8 years not much has changed in the top 10 of the TIOBE index except for Objective-C (in) and Delphi (out). Apart from iPhone language Objective-C, new language adoption appears to be much harder than expected. The main reason for this is probably that it is very difficult to migrate a large code base from one language to another one. So changes are slow. But even if we take this into account there are no new languages that show a slow but constant uprise.

Let's have a look at some possible candidates. What programming languages are hot in the Internet discussions? Take, for instance, Scala. It is currently at position #46. We started monitoring this language 6 years ago. It entered the TIOBE index at #57 in 2006, but one year later it already moved to #48. So not much happened to the language after that. Other examples are F# (currently: #40, 2006: #38), Groovy (currently: #32, 2008: #36), Erlang (currently: #44, 2006: #35) and Clojure (currently: #77, 2009: #88). So where is that next big programming language?


Other programming languages:


TIOBE Programming Community Index is an indicator of the programming language trends. It is updated monthly, this list is based on the number of experienced programmers,courses and third-party vendors on the Internet. It uses the well-known search engines (such as Google, MSN, Yahoo) as well as Wikipedia and YouTube to calculate the ranking. Please note that this list is merely a reflection of the popularity of a programming language, does not indicate whether a programming language is good or not.

For more detail analysis of this month's language ranking. Please refer to http://www.tiobe.com/index.php/content/paperinfo/tpci/index.html

References
[1].http://sd.csdn.net/a/20120510/2805477.html

[2].http://www.tiobe.com/index.php/content/paperinfo/tpci/index.html
TIOBE 2012 MAY KING

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2
Tomek
May 14, 2012 at 5:42 am
Reply
seems like C and Java are the current and the "next big programming languages" - no competition so far
rajan
Jul 31, 2012 at 7:27 am
Reply
really its helpful to me